Home Today's Paper Most Popular Video Gallery Photo Gallery
Subscription Blog Signin Register
Logo
Monday, May 28, 2018 07:18:33 AM
Follow Us On: Facebook Twitter Twitter Twitter Twitter

From Saddam to Assad : Hot water of the Arab Sea

By
09th-May-2018       
Comments
Share your thought
Post a comment »
Read all () »

M A Hossain :
Most possibly, the final episode of another important chapter of 'Middle East crisis solution formula' has already started. Bashar al Assad,sitting in his lavish palace in Damascus might not have been thought of the ultimate consequence of his getting into wrestle with the West. All though Syria had. refrained from attending the 29th Arab League Summit, it failed in getting sympathy from the members of the Arab League ;including Saudi Arabia.
Following West strike on Douma in Syria, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has said the West has the habit of attacking anyone on suspect, and investigate only after the attack ; to prove the attack was based on wrong information.
What ever argument Mr. Lavrov may have in defence of their long time ally - Bashar al Assad,this very statement of the Russian minister clearly proves - days of Russia might had been lost long back. Because in the global scenario, we are continuous seeing, the lone Super Power United States doesn't bother in either arguing or judging issue before they picked up weapons for any offensives. During the Cold War era, neither Moscow nor Washington had any obligation of arguing before they got themselves a party into any of the world affairs. But that was possible only for a Soviet Union - not a broken Russia. For Kremlin, they already have severe conflicts (even war) with few of its neighbours. For example, the Russian invasion in Ukraine in 2014 is no different than Soviet invasion in Afghanistan. During the entire era of Cold War, the most humiliating defeat of the mighty Soviet army were in Afghanistan. Actually this invasion had tremendously damaged the image of Kremlin.
Should Soviet Union never invent Afghanistan, most possibly there would be no Mujahidins or Taliban or Al-Qeeda or so on. As the entire world has been paying the cost of the rise of militancy from the entire Soviet war field in Afghanistan, we can easily assess several options the US and the West - would play initially in Syria and ultimately - in Ukraine, in Chechnya - and beyond.
Iraqi President Saddam Hussein basically digged his grave by invading Kuwait. In fact Iraq gained nothing from it's Kuwait invasion. In my personal opinion, through Kuwait invasion, Saddam Hussein, the blue eyed darling of the West - especially the US turned into their worst enemy all most over night. We need to remember, a Sunni dominated Iraq actually did not want any war with a shia dominated Iran. But it was Iran's Ayatullah Ruhullah Khomeini who dreamt of expanding a shia 'imperialism' into Sunni lands; and he found Iraq as the first choice because Iraq is Iran's nearest neighbour.
Let us look into the socio- economic situation of Iraq and Iran right before the war. Saddam Hussein was a soldier, who dedicated himself in upbringing the socio economic status of Iraq  and its people ; while Iranian rulers like Reza Shah Pahlavi were severely greedy rulers - and Khomeini was a clergyman having no real knowledge of governance, economy, diplomacy or even defence. For decades where Iranian people were struggling due to autocratic monarchism and Khomeini's dictatorship; Iraqi were heading towards progress and prosperity at a very speedy pace. Where even an Iraqi from the lower income group could afford personal vehicles and even housemaids, Iranian in the same social status were battling in even managing their daily food. Khomeini, instead of copying the development policies of Saddam, started feeling envy of a prosperous Iraq and plotted a nasty game of indulging into hostilities with his Sunni neighbour. Due to consistent provocation of Tehran, Saddam Hussein had no options left in getting into military confrontation with the Khomeini regime. At this confrontation, while Saddam had all the support from the US and his Western allies, Khomeini had to seek Soviet cooperation. The result of Iraq - Iran war went totally against Tehran. Saddam taught befitting lesson to the 'shia radicals'. Although Khomeini got a strong slap on his face he didn't stop there. Instead, he started plotting another conspiracy against Iraq.
Few of the Saddam's top aides were secretly purchased by the Iranian intelligence agency who had given the wrong formula of an Iraqi imperialism in the Middle East into Saddam's mind. And of course humans are not above errors. Saddam did step into the trap of Khomeini and all on a sudden went into Kuwait invasion. All though he could not sustain, but this invasion turned Saddam totally isolated from the Westerns world and transformed him into an enemy of Washington.
Although Kuwait invasion didn't bring any good result for Saddam but it opened the doors and windows for the US and its allies in establishing their presence in the Middle East. What Afghanistan war could not do for the US and West ; the Kuwait invasion not only did serve the US- West purpose - but much beyond. In the name of protecting Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, the Americans actually had very successfully placed those nations into its absolute grip.
Although, Kuwait invasion and the subsequent incident had led Saddam Hussein into absolute doom,Iran neither was a beneficiary nor it helped Tehran in improving its relations with the US. Here again, I want to put my opinion. In the Middle East, we are although seeing two players - the US and the European Union ; but actually the main player is US, while rest are mere weapon merchants. The leader in the Middle East issue certainly is President Donald Trump; while Theresa May of the UK, Angela Merkel of Germany, Emmanuel Macron of France - all are simply a micro factor.
We have to remember one part. In the Middle East although Iran is the main enemy of Saudi Arabia, Riyadh doesn't consider Lebanese Hezbollah (shia militia group) and any of the shia forces in Yemen or Syria as its brethren. To Saudi Arabia, even a country like Israel is a better choice than Iran or any of shia nations. Why? Because a Jewish Israel does not either aspire of capturing the KSA or ousting the ruling monarch from that country ; while Iran most definitely has the agenda of a Saudi invasion as well toppling dawn the Wahhabi monarchs from that country. In this agenda Iran enjoys open or silent support from the shia population in the Middle East.
The billion dollar question is - can Tehran really succeed in turning its daydream into a reality?  It could in fact, if Iran could create several strong allies in the Middle East. Let us remember - Iran is geographically in the Parisian Gulf - not exactly in the Middle East.
To establish its dominance over the Saudi Arabia, Iran had to actually transform shia nation like Syria and Lebanon into a strong nation. Both economically and militarily. It also needed to establish shia dominance in Yemen as well as in Iraq. Most definitely, Tehran was advancing towards achieving this goal. To strengthen Syria's defence and military sectors, Iran had brought North Korea into a very deep and warm relations with Damascus. Similarly there had been Iranians hand behind Bashar al Assad's growing relations with Moscow. Though this relations between Damascus, Moscow and Pyongyang, Tehran wanted to establish another shia nuclear nation in the Middle East. Unfortunately Sunni nations like Saudi Arabia might not have even sensed this nuclearization ambition of the shia nations. This is clearly an intelligence failure of the kingdom.
The Kuwait invasion resulted in Saddam demise. The Syria conflict will not only bring an end to Assad era but it actually will begin the process of a dramatic collapse of the Iranian regimes as well as similar fate to the shia factors in the Middle East. Above all, the fall of Assad will actually be the beginning episode of the fall of Moscow as well as fall of Tehran. Lets keep watching this interesting episode!      
My brief bio:

(M A Hossain, a political and defence analyst writes on diversified topics in Bangladeshi and foreign newspapers. He has served in the United Nations.)

Tariff
Add Rate

News Archive

Inside The New Nation

Editorial »

Teesta treaty still a far cry


YESTERDAY, Bangladesh Prime Minister Shiekh Hasina and West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee held a closed-door meeting for about an hour at a five-star hotel in Kolkata. Although they discussed a lot of issues such as education, trade and economic ties, the much anticipated Teesta water-sharing deal did not figure ...

Entertainment »

Kajol unveils her wax statue at Madame Tussauds Singapore


Bollywood fans, prepare yourself! Kajol joined the IIFA Awards party at Madame Tussauds Singapore. Her figure is the newest addition to the International Indian Film Academy (IIFA) Awards Experience, an interactive zone where you can surround yourself with A-list Bollywood stars and experience stardom. The Bollywood legend herself came to ...

Entertainment »

Leading actors joining the voice over industry gives me hope: Pallavi Bharti


The existence of voice over artists was established only after popular names like Ranveer Singh, Bhuvan Bam and Sharad Kelkar dubbed for the leading characters of blockbuster movies. Pallavi Bharti - who herself is an immensely experienced and talented artist in the field - feels that the involvement of popular ...

International »

Florida, Alabama, Mississippi declare emergency ahead of storm


Reuters, Washington :Florida, Alabama and Mississippi declared states of emergency on Saturday as Subtropical Storm Alberto drove north toward the U.S. Gulf Coast, threatening to bring heavy rainfall and flooding to the coastal states by Monday.The first named Atlantic storm of 2018 is expected to intensify and bring wind speeds ...

Football »

Platini says FIFA must now end his ban, but probe goes on


Former UEFA president Michel Platini said Saturday he hoped FIFA would lift his ban over a controversial 1.8-million-euro payment after Swiss prosecutors said they had found no evidence so far to incriminate him."I hope that FIFA will have the courage and the decency to lift my suspension," Platini told AFP ...

Football »

Colombia`s national soccer team coach Jose Pekerman greets a boy next to James Rodriguez (right) and Radamel Falco Garcia, second from right, prior to an exhibition match at the Nemesio Camacho stadium in Bogota, Colombia on Friday. Colombia will warm up and play a friendly match against Egypt in Italy before heading to Russia for the 2018 FIFA World Cup.


Editorial »

Anti-Terrorism special tribunals not working for quick disposal


NEWS media reported that the two Anti-terrorism Special Tribunals formed last month for quick trial of militancy and terrorism cases are now working at a snail's pace. A small number of cases have been transferred to the tribunals while shortages of courtrooms and manpower are acute. After forming the tribunals ...

Entertainment »

Apu Biswas making comeback


Entertainment Desk :The actress, who kept herself away from the silver screen for family reasons, will be seen in Debashish Biswas's upcoming directorial venture Shashurbari Zindabad-2. The film's shooting will begin this week, informed Apu. 'I am looking forward to make my comeback through Debashish Biswas' upcoming film Shashurbari Zindabad-2, ...

Entertainment »

Deepika, Ranveer are likely to marry on Nov 19


After Sonam Kapoor and Anand Ahuja's big fat Punjabi wedding, looks like another popular couple is ready to tie the knot soon.Ever since the beginning of 2018, rumors of Ranveer Singh and Deepika Padukone tying the knot have been sending fans into a tizzy. We've been hearing news of guests ...

City »

BNP Standing Committee Member Dr Khondkar Mosharraf Hossain, among others, at a protest rally organised by Bangladesh Jatiya Dal at the Jatiya Press Club on Saturday demanding release of BNP Chairperson Begum Khaleda Zia and other leaders of the party.


International »

S Korea relieved about Trump-Kim summit revival efforts


AP, Seoul :South Korea on Saturday expressed cautious relief about the revived talks for a summit between President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un following a whirlwind 24 hours that saw Trump canceling the highly-anticipated meeting before saying it's potentially back on.The statement by Seoul's presidential office ...

Editorial »

Narcotics sale continues despite countrywide crackdown


NARCOTICS trade continues unabated at some of the hotspots in the capital with drug dealers continually changing their tactics in the face of the ongoing nationwide anti-drugs crackdown. The people involved in the illicit trade have become vigilant, but sales haven't stopped. It is, however, difficult to comment about the ...

Back Page »

Fear Allah


Abdul Muqit Chowdhury :The Holy Quran reveals : This is the Book ; /in it is guidance sure, without doubt, /to those who fear God;/who believe in the Unseen/Are steadfast in prayer, /and spend out of what We/Have provided for them;/And who believe in the Revelation/Sent to thee,/And sent before ...

Cricket »

Pakistan bowl England out for 184, reach 50-1 in reply


AP, London :Pakistan provoked England's latest batting collapse by combining disciplined bowling with superb catching before showing resistance in its reply to dominate the opening day of the first test at Lord's on Thursday.A new international season started with some familiar problems for England, which stumbled to 43-3 after winning ...

City »

Textile Garments Workers Federation formed a human chain in front of the Jatiya Press Club on Friday to meet its various demands including reopening of Mastext Mills in Turag.


.

 
Items that you save may be read at any time on your computer, iPad, iPhone or Android devices.
 
Are you new to our website? Do you have already an account at our website?
Create An Account Log in here
Email this news to a friend or like someone
Email:
Write a comment to this news