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Rejection of the Iran deal: Consequences may be dangerous and far-reaching

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10th-May-2018       
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PRESIDENT Trump's attempt to blow up the Iranian nuclear deal isn't a part of the US foreign policy. It is a premeditated attempt to organise chaos while putting the Middle East near the brink of disaster.
He has abandoned the Iran deal formally the day before yesterday, with no replacement, even though his own secretary of state and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff are reported to have stated that Iran appears to be in compliance, and despite his secretary of defence's opinion that the deal is in America's interest, he decided to stick to his policy of hatred and extreme prejudice.
The truth, however, is that America's signature on an international agreement of any kind - trade, climate change, or any deal - is hardly worth the ink Trump uses. The point is that by rebuffing the deal Trump has further isolated America from its allies. Given the historical facts of the Middle East - if there's anything we should have learned - it's to avoid unnecessary wars in that region - but Trump may be laying the groundwork for yet another.
Analysts said that Trump's decision will be greeted with glee in the Kremlin. Any time Europe and the US are "decoupled" it's a win for Russian foreign policy. Moscow will likely paint the US as an unreliable actor, while its more assertive policy in the Middle East -- from Turkey via Syria to Libya -- may also benefit from American abstention.
Whatever has happened, we expect the Western World to act judiciously to continue with the Iran deal minus the United States. The most important aspect of the Iran deal is it may not permanently solve the problem of Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons, but it has been effective at averting crisis and would continue to do for at least 15 years-if it was allowed to continue. When it was signed a promise to establish peace in the tense region appeared possible.
  Iranian President Hassan Rouhani shortly after Trump's announcement said that he had ordered the country's "atomic industry organisation to be fully prepared for subsequent measures if needed so that in case of need we will start our industrial enrichment without limitations."
Putting the Iran deal in jeopardy, the US is inviting death and destruction in the Middle East. America's allies know it and they must unite to deter Trump from his whimsical and irrational decision making.  Otherwise, the consequences will be far-reaching and polarising. The US must not base its foreign policy on the whims of Israel and Saudi Arabia.


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