Home Today's Paper Most Popular Video Gallery Photo Gallery
Subscription Blog Signin Register
Logo
Tuesday, October 23, 2018 10:26:27 AM
Follow Us On: Facebook Twitter Twitter Twitter Twitter

As sanctions bite, where next for Trump's Iran strategy

photo by

A man holds a newspaper in Tehran.

By
07th-Aug-2018       
Comments
Share your thought
Post a comment »
Read all () »

AFP :
A wave of US sanctions kicks in against Iran on Tuesday, cementing Washington's hard line against Tehran after President Donald Trump pulled out of the 2015 nuclear pact.
Already facing broad economic fallout as their currency implodes, Iranians are wondering how the next phase of the crisis in US relations will play out-and what, exactly, America's long-term strategy is toward their country. At least for now, the US is fixated on bringing as much diplomatic and economic pressure to Iran as possible-though it is not clear where things are headed, or if there is an increased risk of conflict.
The US walked out of the 2015 nuclear deal in May and is bringing back "maximum pressure" sanctions for most sectors on August 6, and the energy sector on November 4.
As of 0401 GMT Tuesday, the Iran government can no longer buy US banknotes and broad sanctions will be slapped on Iranian industries, including its rug exports.
Asked Sunday if Tehran would be able to evade the measures, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo vowed the United States would "enforce the sanctions," saying heaping pressure on Tehran was meant to "push back against Iranian malign activity."
"This is just about Iranians' dissatisfaction with their own government, and the President is pretty clear, we want the Iranian people to have a strong voice in who their leadership will be," he told reporters.
After months of fierce rhetoric, Trump surprised observers last week when he offered to meet with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani "any time"-and without preconditions.
The dramatic about-face, which Secretary of State Mike Pompeo quickly tamped down, came just days after the enigmatic US president and Rouhani traded barbs.
Trump at one point unleashed a Twitter tirade in which he blasted, using all caps, Rouhani's "DEMENTED WORDS OF VIOLENCE." He was responding to a July 22 warning from Rouhani that the US should not "play with the lion's tail" and warned that any conflict with Iran would be the "mother of all wars."
Trump's offer for dialogue came after Pompeo seemed to suggest support for a change in Iran leadership, telling an audience of Iranian expats in California that the regime had been a "nightmare".
And John Bolton, the president's national security advisor, is a well-known Iran hawk who has advocated for regime change.
"For Bolton and others, pressure is an end in and of itself," Suzanne Maloney, deputy director of the foreign policy program at the Brookings Institution, told AFP.
For the administration, "if it leads to a wholesale capitulation fine, if it leads to regime change, even better," she added. Trump's pressure campaign appears to have had some results.
For instance, US officials in recent years have accused both the regular Iranian navy and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps of routinely harassing American warships in the Gulf.
But this year, to the surprise of some military officials, there have been no such incidents.
If Iran senses "American steel they back down, if they perceive American mush they push forward-and right now they perceive steel," said Mark Dubowitz, chief executive of Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a Washington think tank that lobbied for a renegotiation of the Iran nuclear deal.
Dubowitz, who noted that Iran has tested fewer missiles of late, said Trump's rhetoric and position on Iran actually lowers the risk of escalation toward conflict.
"He's assuming that if he talks tough, that will bolster the credibility of American military power," Dubowitz told AFP. Both Trump and Rouhani are due to address the United Nations General Assembly in New York next month. It's not inconceivable a meeting on the sidelines could occur then-Tehran will be looking anxiously to a November deadline for oil buyers to stop purchasing Iranian crude.
Over the weekend Trump once again floated the idea of meeting, tweeting "I will meet, or not meet, it doesn't matter-it is up to them!" "Iran, and its economy, is going very bad, and fast!" he said in the same missive.
US Defense Secretary Jim Mattis said on July 27 there was no policy that had been put in place with the goal of collapsing or changing the Iranian regime.
"We need them to change their behavior on a number of threats they can pose with their military, with their secret services, with their surrogates and with their proxies," Mattis told Pentagon reporters.
Experts see a number of possible outcomes for the current US policy toward Iran.
Sanctions and diplomatic pressure could pile enough pressure on the regime that it comes to the negotiating table-something Trump has advocated for.
The financial crisis in Iran could worsen to the point that mass protests make it impossible for the regime to hold on to power-though economic pressures risk galvanizing growing anti-American sentiment and support for hardliners.
Or the regime could start to address what America calls its "malign influence" in the region, including its support to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and threats to shut down the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping lane for international oil supplies.

Tariff
Add Rate

News Archive

Inside The New Nation

Editorial »

The authoritarian ruler must go


THE Maldives' top court on Sunday ended weeks of uncertainty by rejecting strongman President Abdulla Yameen's controversial bid to annul last month's election results, upholding his landslide defeat to the opposition candidate Ibrahim Mohamed Solih. The five-judge Supreme Court bench unanimously ruled that Yameen had failed to prove his claim ...

Cricket »

Asia Cup knock still Imrul's best


After registering his highest ODI score in the series opener against Zimbabwe, Bangladesh batsman Imrul Kayes has still rated it as his 'second-best' innings.Imrul smashed 140-ball 144 runs including 13 fours and 6 maximums against Zimbabwe which helped Tigers win by 28 runs in the first ODI at Mirpur.Even after ...

Football »

Messi injury means Coutinho, Dembele must step up for Barca


AP, Barcelona :With Lionel Messi out with a broken arm, the two most expensive signings in Barcelona's history have a perfect opportunity to step up and show their value.Barcelona spent more than 300 million euros to sign Brazil midfielder Philippe Coutinho and France forward Ousmane Dembele last season as it ...

International »

Turkey turns up heat on Saudi crown prince over Khashoggi


AFP  :Turkey's pro-government media published new claims on Monday linking Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi after President Recep Tayyip Erdogan vowed to reveal the "naked truth" about the case.Erdogan said at the weekend he would give new details in a speech on ...

International »

Nnamdi Kanu: Nigerian separatist leader resurfaces in Israel


Missing Nigerian separatist leader Nnamdi Kanu has resurfaced in Israel more than a year after soldiers stormed his home. "I'm in Israel," Mr Kanu said on Sunday in a broadcast on his outlawed pirate radio station - Radio Biafra. A video of the Indigenous People Of Biafra (Ipob) leader praying ...

City »

Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina administering oath to the newly elected Mayor of Barishal City Corporation Serniabat Sadik Abdullah at her office in the city on Monday.


Entertainment »

Emon, Airin pair up in movie for first time


Sheikh Arif Bulbon :Popular film actor Emon and model cum actress Airin Sultana have paired up for the first time in a movie titled Akash Mohol. Noted filmmaker Delwar Jahan Jhontu is making the movie under the banner of Impress Telefilm. The shooting of the movie began at the Bangladesh ...

Cricket »

Imrul Kayes scores career best 144


Bangladeshi opening batsman Imrul Kayes proved his worth scoring his 3rd ODI century with career best 144 runs in a tough situation against Zimbabwe in the first match of the three-match ODI series at the home of Bangladesh Cricket-Sher-e-Bangla National Stadium in Mirpur on Sunday.When Bangladesh were losing wickets on ...

Football »

Emery's Arsenal face gruelling week


Unai Emery admits Arsenal will struggle to cope with a draining schedule that sees them host Leicester at the start of three games in seven days.Emery's side will be pushed to the limit by the television schedulers, who moved their Premier League clash with the Foxes to Monday evening at ...

Entertainment »

Shahnoor: Shukla of movie Indubala


Sheikh Arif Bulbon :Shahnoor loves acting in different roles. She always feels comfortable to present herself in challenging roles. For this reason, she was seen to act in such type of roles in recently acted movies. As a part of its continuation, she is going to work in a challenging ...

City »

Bangladesh Jatiyatabadi Chhatra Dal and Jubo Dal and other organisations brought out a procession protesting verdict against BNP Acting Chairman Tarique Rahman in August 21 grenade attack case at Kalyanpur area in the city yesterday .


International »

Withdrawal from nuclear arms deal `dangerous step` for US: Moscow


AFP, Moscow: Withdrawing from a Cold War-era nuclear weapons treaty with Russia as US President Donald Trump has announced he plans to do is a dangerous step, Russia's deputy foreign minister warned on Sunday."This would be a very dangerous step that, I'm sure, not only will not be comprehended by ...

Editorial »

Khashoggi`s brutal murder has brutally damaged image of Saudi Kingdom


The Saudi Kingdom has ultimately confirmed that writer and critic Jamal Ahmad Khashoggi was killed inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul city.  Saudi state media reported Khashoggi was killed in "fist-fight" with the Kingdom's officials inside its consulate. The announcement marked a U-turn from the Kingdom, which had previously denied ...

International »

Khashoggi criticises Saudi Prince in newly released interview


Saudi critic Jamal Khashoggi criticized Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's "authoritarian rule" shortly before his death, in an interview published following confirmation he died at the kingdom's Istanbul consulate.Speaking off the record to a Newsweek journalist working on a story about the Saudi leadership, he insisted he did not view ...

Business & Economy »

Economists sign declaration against Brazil frontrunner


AFP, Rio De Janeiro :More than 350 economists -- among them a Nobel Prize winner -- have signed a declaration saying Brazil's frontrunner to be president, far-right politician Jair Bolsonaro, is not the best choice for his country.The experts stated that Bolsonaro's leftist rival, Fernando Haddad, was "the best alternative" ...

 
Items that you save may be read at any time on your computer, iPad, iPhone or Android devices.
 
Are you new to our website? Do you have already an account at our website?
Create An Account Log in here
Email this news to a friend or like someone
Email:
Write a comment to this news